The agreements were for £102/sq ft in June 2008, £78/sq ft in September and £68/sq ft in December. My firm handled the last one.
At least 90% of leases are on five-year patterns, whether break clauses, reviews or expiries. And so, these same negotiations now resurface.
Almost five years from June 2008 to June 2013, landlords have not been able to gain increases on reserved rents, and the “rent boys” — those in surveying professional departments - have been busying themselves on lease expiry, break clause and lease restructuring negotiations.
However, from this month onwards, rent reviews will be back in force, not only on prime Mayfair offices negotiated from December 2008 onwards, but virtually all over central London, and even, in some cases, in the regions.
The market fell further in 2009 and, therefore, 2014 increases especially if the market continues at its present strength will bring battles between landlords that expect full market rental values and tenants fighting their corner.
The market fell further in 2009 and, therefore, 2014 increases especially if the market continues at its present strength will bring battles between landlords that expect full market rental values and tenants fighting their corner.
Many tenants who took grade A offices in the best locations, which were relatively cheap in 2009 and 2010, will face increases they cannot afford in 2014 and 2015 respectively, and may have to exercise break clauses or exit when the lease expires.
Those who have committed to longer leases may be in the fortunate position of being in a market where demand will exceed supply, and, despite the higher rents now prevailing, assignments will be possible.
Landlords may even be tempted to take surrenders for open market reletting.
Landlords may even be tempted to take surrenders for open market reletting.
What is needed now are rent negotiators with experience. Clearly, perhaps with the exception of the writer and a handful of others, most of the doyens of the industry who were active in the 1970s and 1980s have cast down their tools, but a few senior rent review and lease renewal specialists are still around, sharing their experience with the next crop, who are in their forties and fifties.
Let’s call them the middle-market rent review specialists, who cut their teeth mainly through the meteoric rises in rental values from 1997 to 1999 and 2005 and late 2007/early 2008.
However, many of those guys moved to different departments in their firms, when there was not enough rent review work around, and now there is a shortage of good surveyors who know how to run an arbitration or court case.
Game on
As far as the next batch are concerned — let’s call them the youngsters — they probably only had a year or two as assistants before the market collapsed in late 2008. They will have to learn quickly to be able to cope with the abundance of work emanating from this phenomenon.
I forecast in 2010 that this renewed workload would return in December 2013, and now I wonder how many firms have trained and increased their workforce to cope with the activity.
I hope that the service given to clients, whether landlord or tenant, is as good as it was when we didn’t have this helter-skelter situation, whereby the rent review market was closed for almost five years and then reopened with a vengeance.